degringolade: (Default)
 

Ottoman Period (after 1600) / Hatip Mehmed Efendi/ Süleymaniye Kütüphanesi


TGIF.

I am kinda wondering if I stayed too long.  Oh, don’t get me wrong, I wasn’t ready to bolt just yet, or for that matter, had a plan for bolting.  But I am thinking that there is a better chance of things falling down now than there have been for the last thirty years which I have been saying the whole thing is going to hell.

But I suppose that is the way that things always go.  


Borrows

Sep. 6th, 2021 07:49 am
degringolade: (Default)

Ming Dynasty (1368–1644) / Tang Yin/ 溪山漁隱 卷


A load of laundry in, I shoulda done two, but just didn’t feel like it.  

Can’t really think of that much I want to put a rant on.  I am kinda exploring the peripheries of the old adage “good artists borrow, great artists steal”.  I finally got a way to help myself write and actually finish and maintain a plotline.  I find a book I have read that I like, and I rewrite the chapters in a slightly different order, using different characters, different dialog, different plots, different worlds…..but borrow how the book is paced.  

So I am kinda thinking that goes under the “borrow” category of the aforementioned aphorism.  If all I am borrowing is the pacing of the book and not using the other four I figure I am safe from accusations of plagiarism.  

Actually managing to write this way.  Most of my previous attempts came up at a dead end when I lost track of what I was trying to say.  Most books (especially fiction) aren’t that complex.  If you make a decision about the basic plot and reduce it to a single paragraph (even better, a single sentence) all the book is is a means of expanding that into an extended form with details and dialog.

I think that what my act of quasi-plagiarism does is to give me an example from a book that I enjoy the way to pace the story and an idea of the mix needed to blend the descriptive and the dialog in a pleasing manner.  

I suppose that Mrs Lake (High School English Teacher who I adored) would have told me that I could do the same thing with an outline, but she kinda ruined that for me fifty years ago.

Judgements

Aug. 29th, 2021 08:37 am
degringolade: (Default)
 

Post-Impressionism / Edouard Vuillard/ Interior


Been pondering of late about this fall/winter that is bearing down on us.  Can’t say for a minute that I am thrilled about the prospects.  Now granted, things might work out just fine.  I have been wrong before.  But truthfully, it might just be my age talking louder than usual.

I think the reason that I feel more worried about the slide down is that there seems to be more to worry about coming down the pike.  That in itself is not particularly worrisome, no more than 5/10.  Lots of bad predicate conditions have happened before.  

Nope, what worries me is the overall leadership in the country.  I am not really talking about the series of idiots that have taken up residence at 1600 Pennsylvania during this benighted century (though that is getting worrisome in and of itself), but I am talking about the second and third levels down and their apparent ineptness.  Congress, Governors, and the heads of the big companies (Known here as CG&H), as a rule do not seem to know what they are doing.

Now, this vague generality does not include the financial sector, they appear to know exactly what they are doing.  They are successfully finding the greater fool.  

But the remainder of the CG&H are flailing.  They are expected to match the ROI that the financial sector manages.  But the problem is that they really can’t when one considers the state of the world.  The manufacturers really can’t keep manufacturing the way they did in the past.  Just can’t happen.  The energy and raw material requirements to even keep the manufacturing at current levels are vanishing.  Now, discussion on how this came to pass is another discussion, the decisions made in the past forty years have simply made the condition we are in inevitable.  

So here we are, with an economy of non-productive means trying to figure out how to provide for a populace who can’t imagine another lifestyle.  To say that something has to give is an understatement.  I am hoping for as far away in the future as possible.

deign

Aug. 25th, 2021 05:57 am
degringolade: (Default)
 

Taishō period (1912–1926) / Kanae Yamamoto/ Fishermen


Looks to be like the hospital is going into freakout mode again.  I am still totally ambivalent as to whether or not this is a useful kind of thing, but TPTB have deigned it necessary so I will soldier on.  It won’t be the first or last time that I have received orders that left me scratching my head.

I am not looking forward to the next little while.  I tell folks to remember the shape of the curve.  Seriously, go out to the data and find historical information on the first run through with the Rona as our rider.  Look at the end of last August and use that as a useful model.  Look what happened last fall.

I don’t think that I have the answers.  I tend to be an Eeyore much to the discomfort of those around me.  But I am right frequently enough that discounting my suspicions is, while not a bad option, is not a great one either.

I am going to splurge a little this week and grab some pantry supplies.  I am thinking that it is time to lay down a little protection.  

degringolade: (Default)
 Last night at Debibel

Monday Early AM:  Coffee is being drunk, consciousness is returning.  

I have to work through the processes needful for accessorizing my descent into sloth (read here: retirement).  I will need to start on the weekends as little mini-laboratories for the creation of the routines/things that need to be done in order to live within my means and have a good life.  

The actual processes will be greatly simplified.  Two hours a day will not be needful getting to work.  But about an hour and a quarter of these two hours are spent walking to and from the train. So I have to keep the hour and a quarter going but plug the 45 minute hole.  

The 8.5 hour hole that will chasm open when sloth-time occurs will need to be filled.  I am thinking that if I can get used to spending a two or three hour period writing every day outside of this diary, I might be able to finish a bigger project, this particular bete noir is something I have attempted and failed at before.  Maybe what I need is just time to figure out the technical details of a project such as this without the day to day world constantly sticking its two cents into the equation.

The hard part of the process will be to re-establish how to be a student.  If I am going to write something, it will need to be well-researched.  That kind of stuff is a habit that goes away once you leave the University.  Even skilled “researchers' ' usually don’t bother with decent research, what is called “research” in today's world is merely stretching a procession of technologies as far as they can be stretched in exchange for a paycheck.  

Nope, gotta get into the discipline of reading and taking notes and then digesting the notes into a clear form and then spending the time needed to make sense of the vagaries, deliberate omissions, and errors that constitute any serious piece of work of any type.  Then you have to write this down and put it out there so that people can spend the time needed to point out the vagaries, deliberate omissions, and errors that your work entails.

I have been spending time doing this in a minor way with the data from Rona.  I went into the CDC’s site and dredged out the mortality statistics and worked them over to get the numbers to display something useful to me.  I was flattered that some folks actually took me up on my offer to share the info.

Now the big problem over the next 680-some-odd days I have remaining at the mill, is to figure out what it is I will be researching and the way I need to come up with a plan to get something done with the research.  It kinda sounds trivial when you phrase it like that, but I have a feeling it will be a somewhat painful process that will require a significant amount of alcohol.

R&R

Oct. 14th, 2020 05:25 am
degringolade: (Default)
 


The power of sight does not come from the eye, the power to hear does not come from the ear, nor the power to feel from the nerves; but it is the spirit of man that sees through the eye, and hears with the ear, and feels by means of the nerves. Wisdom and reason and thought are not contained in the brain, but they belong to the invisible and universal spirit which feels through the heart and thinks by means of the brain. All these powers are contained in the invisible universe, and become manifest through material organs, and the material organs are their representatives, and modify their mode of manifestation according to their material construction, because a perfect manifestation of power can only take place in a perfectly constructed organ, and if the organ is faulty, the manifestation will be imperfect, but not the original power defective.
 
Paracelsus -- De Viribus Membrorum

I decided last night that I am tired of actively seeking a meaning of the world.  Nope.  Tired.  

Not done with it, but it is time for R&R.  I am too old for I&I.  Makes me fall and bonk my head.

So I am going to keep still and rest today.  Maybe the rest of the week.  Fall is here and it is time to get ready for the winter's "hunker down".  

To Whom?

Aug. 30th, 2020 08:32 am
degringolade: (Default)
 

Now, in my mental peregrinations, I have chosen to sit down on the idea of the primary organism being the Holobiont.  Now, this makes a couple of big assumptions that folks don't really like.  The most prominent of these little bits of social awkwardness is that the individual isn't really all that important in the grand scheme of things.   

I guess that it where I am thinking about going with this little foray into the nature of things.  Rather than starting out with the idea of an individual member as H. Sapiens being the starting point, the way that I want to approach it is what is the nature of the relationship between the cognition and consciousness of the individual and the holobiont of which we are a part.  Tough bit of work this.  None of the standard tools offered us in our education seem to be of any particular use.  The relationship is easy within the smaller holobiont that accounts for we individuals currently called humans, but for right now lets say the the holobiont problem just doesn't seem to scale well.

But only a minimum time has been applied to the problem.  Like most ideas the big issue seems pretty good, but the devil lies in the details.  I think that i Need to set up a formal thesis here in the none to distant future.  

So, per the requirements and the training that I received in my youth I have been reading a lot of things that weren't fashionable in the long ago.  So today I am reviewing the netherworld of symbiogenesis and going to lunch with the family

degringolade: (Default)
 Rococo / Jean-Baptiste Oudry/ Clara the Rhinoceros
Rococo / Jean-Baptiste Oudry/ Clara the Rhinoceros

I am thinking about changing around my sleep hours, so I am writing this at the end of the day rather than the crotch of dawn when I usually write.  The eldest is staying with me for a bit while he settles into the new job, and since he is the not quite swing shift and I am the day shift, it is only polite for me not to wake his ass up every morning. 

Not that much is happening at work.  I am scrambling find a couple of hours of meaningful work in an eight-hour day.   

I am just waiting to see how things go now. Nothing else is exciting.  

So just got home from a day of nothingness.  I am becoming more and more certain that there will be some red faces at the end of all this.  This most certainly isn't our finest hour.  But those have been pretty thin on the ground lately anyway, so let's stick with the trend.


Screed

I think right now is the time for patience.  Time to sweat the small shit.  Make inroads into all those little tasks that need to get done before the new normal comes to visit.  For me, it is a lot of little things that need to get done.  Simplifying ones life is a complicated mess sometimes.  Since Donny and Nancy sent me a check today, I paid off debt and bought a stand mixer that can knead bread. 

So I have to purge my stuff to make room.  Pans and tupperware are on the chopping block.  Got too many of both of them and that will be addressed today and tomorrow.  I want to compress the kitchen stuff to a single cabinet.  An appropriate number of pots and pans, a lot less rubbermaid..

  
degringolade: (Default)

Ugh: 

Nice Sunday Morning with only minimal plans a planning.  Go eat sushi with the eldest along with various and sundry members of the clan, maybe relax tonight and lay down some more work on the proto-book/story.    Maybe make some cookies. 


Screed:

Look, you gotta realize that this time around, this election, we are fucked.

The best candidate out there is Bernie, But Bernie comes with some serious problems.  In a way, Bernie's presidency, should it happen, will be an instant replay of the Trump presidency.  It is my belief that the Trump presidency is a miserable failure.  Not so much for the goals attempted or the myriad failures he accomplished, but for his inability, due to his status as an outsider for the Republican Party, to form an effective and capable administration.

Do you really think that Bernie won't have the same problem? 

Trump and Bernie represent a commensurate problem.  The elite that control both parties, to draw a dangerous parallel, have lost the mandate of heaven.  Bernie and Trump both represent their failure. 

I doubt that either Donnie or Bernie represent any type of success.  They are merely harbingers of the failure of the elite. 

As I keep pointing out, neither of these two old men represent any real hope.  They represent the systematic  failure of the current political system.

I think that Trump will run the table.  The only person on the democratic side that even has a chance is Bernie.  I would posit that Bernie has no better than a 35% chance of winning.  But Bernie, due to the problems above will be a one-term President and the same fear that holds for him I hold for Trump.  What comes next?

2024 is scaring me.

degringolade: (Default)
 
 
Spent the day yesterday resting.  Little or nothing else of meaning happened.  Did see the kiddos and Carl, but didnt go out to see their movie choice.  "The Texas Chainsaw Massacre" didn't do that much for me in the seventies, I sure don't want to reprise a badly done slasher movie almost fifty years later.  I do miss hanging out with the folks, but not enough to watch that again.

Went and had a beer over on Mississippi and chatted and ate an overpriced Reuben, so I did get time.

Today is going to be a little "loafy", I will go over to let the elder drive about to practice.  I will probably head over to the XMILs place and chat while Carl is in town.


Screed:

Sometimes being an Old White Guy (OWG) is annoying, especially when one displays few of the signalling behaviors of what is considered indicative of the breed.  Now, lets not think for a moment that I am not either old or a guy.  Despite the current foofooraw concerning gender and the proper pronouns to be attached, I got those two down pat.

The "white" thing is somewhat problemmatic.  Growing up in the whitest of white areas (northern Utah in the sixties and seventies), I was always referred to as "not quite white" by my peers.  I was tolerated because I anchored both the offensive and defensive lines and they would have sucked badly without Blake and I's presence.

But I am routinely lumped into the "Old White Boomer" category.   Now, since there is some merit there, I will tentatively accept the sobriquet, but exactly why the fuck is everyone so annoyed with all of us OWG's?  I mean really, look at us, there really is a minority of the folk's like me that really have had any kind of say in whatever the hell has gone down for the past forty years or so.  Most of us were intent on putting enough food on the table and making certain that the chillun's had shoes to spend much time plotting and scheming the interface between the profit motive and the fall of Western Civilization.  

Cause you see, what is being pinned on us old white geezers is pretty much the failure of the American populace to understand that you can't burn up the feedstock of a civilization in a couple of generations.  And the decision to do so didn't just benefit OWG's but allowed the Women's movement and minorities to expand into the fabled realm of the "Professional Managerial Class (PMC)".  Because you see, the OWG's are now serving as the scapegoats to any and all now that the uselessness of that class is being exposed.

A lot of this is residual anger concerning the ongoing inequality of result in the job market.  Like I stated above, the expansion of women and minorities into the PMC was overdue and necessary.  But what happened is that rather than replacing the proto-OWG's with women and minorities, the PMC just increased in size to accomodate the newest additions.  Now that the bottom is falling out of the economy, and the environmental damage and climate change are beginning to get some serious traction,  the expansion of that the tenuous non-class of PMC's are getting ready to undergo a pretty serious trimback. 

So, here is my take on this issue.  I will accept the OWG nomenclature.  But here is really what this is all about:  Folks are going to be booted out of the PMC at an alarming rate in the none-too-distant future.  The old white guys are being queued up for the first to go.  That is because they hold the sins of the father (white guy).  They are also old.  So they will be kicked to the curb, because that is what happens to old guys.  The real interesting part will be the fight to hang on between the women, the young white guys, and the minorities.  I am not advocating anything in this grudge match.  

Because at the end of the day, the folk that are willing to fight for these jobs are singularly unappealing to me.  

Dronish

Sep. 30th, 2019 05:35 am
degringolade: (Default)
Claude Monet:  Impression Sunrise

Too much socialization yesterday, but it is done for a week.  Next week is staying at home and solitude.  Don't want to make this too much a habit.  I skipped laundry, so I will try to get some done during the course of the week.  Also need to clean up.  When fall comes the place seems to get yucky faster. 

Screed:


I am kinda fascinated by the Saudi-Yemeni thing.  Lotsa understated US and Israeli involvement.  Tough little bastards in burnooses and attitudes not caving in.  Iran stirring the pot in a very deniable and effective manner.  I kinda think that we have seen this movie before and the ending isn't what folks think that it will be.

One of the few thing that I appreciated about Obama is his use of drones.  Man ran the war like an exterminator.  Oh granted, there was the occasional wedding party, but as it was a wedding party cementing ties between folks who we had designated as "enemies" that kinda let us look lightly at the non-combatant idea.  He at least had the good sense to dial back on the US soldiers going in toe to toe.

Now the Houthi's have utterly destroyed a couple of Brigades of Saudi's.  You know the people we spend all that time training and who buy all of our fancy toys.  I think that we figured that if we trained the Bedouins and mercenary army of the Saud's they would be able to handle the Yemeni's.  More the fools us and them.  Looks to be the Saudis lost three full brigades of merc's.  It also appears that the Saudi Officers made good their escape early and fast.  That is sure to elicit a bunch of loyalty from the Merc's. 

We are fools to think that the House of Saud has the ability to last. 

degringolade: (Default)

Will spend the next month or so figuring out the landing zone. I am thinking about getting out of Oregon and to a low tax state, but that will require a lot more research. Oregon is actually pretty good, but the rents just keep going up and the 9% that Oregon will be pulling out of my retirement will suck pretty bad.

 

Today’s Screed

Political passions, whether they arise on the left or the right, are symptoms of human stupidity, which it is the novelist’s job to unmask.

Gustave Flaubert

Restated: Political passion always flows from the mouth hole of a stupid mask. Self check: If one finds oneself starting to feel passionate about politics, one should work to counter the pull into stupidity.

  Michael

Like original sin, politics will be with us always. Maybe politics itself is the ultimate manifestation of original sin.

Now, I know that here in woke America, we are supposed to believe à la Rousseau that man is a noble creature, brought low by the structure of a decadent society and repressed by faulty and nearly evil. I can see no evidence in history to support this claim. It appears to me that the old adage “Power Corrupts” applies across the human experience and people who claim innocence just haven’t had their turn at power.

I realize and respect my friends loathing of the human-shaped similacrum that resides at 1600. But truthfully, he is just one of the fallen, and the fallen appear to be running the show. 1600 is just the frontman for an evil and avaricious system that is running out of gas.

I think that some folks feel that the process of replacing yon douchebag will begin the “healing” that will bring us back our cargo-cult materiel and lead us back to the promised land of seeing the USA in our Chevrolet. Nothing will be further from the truth. If replaced, the figurehead will either

  • Continue the looting of the middle and lower classes to the benefit of the wealthy. (Democrat/Republican Option)
  • Change the looting to benefit the other classes (No particular candidate thus far).

But the real issue is that the pie is beginning to shrink. The number of people who want a piece of the pay is not shrinking.

 


degringolade: (Default)
Katsushika Hokusai: Fuji Mountains in Clear Weather

Having a national holiday on a Thursday is always a mixed bag.  I am grateful for the day off work, but coming back on a Friday is a bit of a problem.  Now, I realize that this is a first world problem, but there you have it, I am voicing discontent at having to drag my ass out of bed and getting to work.

Spent a good deal of the day yesterday at the Waterfront Blues Festival listening to some damn fine music.  Baking in the sun and listening to blues is an excellent way of spending a day off.  Most of the day was at the Front Porch Stage, listening to local bands competing to go to Memphis for the next step in their career.  All of them were worthy.  Listened to the big stages, but I actually enjoyed the small stages more.


Today's Screed


Ahh, having the UK do our bidding, seizing a mega tanker at Gibraltar with Spain looking over your shoulder and wondering who is in the wrong.  So, Iran is selling oil to Syria.  Who fucking cares, at this point the whole deal smells of a bunch of petulant children who are pouting after not winning.   We tried to boost Assad because he wouldn't do our bidding and he was mean to Lebanon after they rolled over to Israel and the fucking Saudis. 

Well, that didn't work, did it?

We are doing our best to pick a fight with Iran.  I sure as fuck can't figure out why.  I can't see how they threaten the United States in any way.  Now, they do threaten the profits of the energy companies and they do hold an impressive amount of energy reserves, but I am certain that has nothing to do with it.

We have to get out of the Mideast.  We are going to get out of the Mideast, but right now we are trying out all of the worst possible methods.  We feel that we should control the flow of oil and energy to reward our friends and punish those who aren't.  We want to control the energy so that the industrial economy that we are so proud of can squeeze a couple more miles of arrogance out of a near empty tank.

Iran is playing a pretty sophisticated game of "rope-a-dope".  We keep pushing at them, they keep sliding away from our attempts.  They are playing Lao Tzu's game, the one that Mao taught and Giap learned. 

LeGuin

 

Using mystery

The expert in warfare says:

Rather than dare make the attack

I’d take the attack;

rather than dare advance an inch

I’d retreat a foot.

It’s called marching without marching,

rolling up your sleeves without flexing your muscles,

being armed without weapons,

giving the attacker no opponent.

Nothing’s worse than attacking what yields.

To attack what yields is to throw away the prize.

So, when matched armies meet,

the one who comes to grief

is the true victor.

 

Legge

 

A master of the art of war has said, 'I do not dare to commence the war; I prefer to to act on the defensive. I do not dare to advance an inch; I prefer to retire a foot.' This is called marshaling the ranks where there are no ranks; baring the arms where there are no arms to bare; grasping the weapon where there is no weapon to grasp; advancing against the enemy where there is no enemy.

There is no calamity greater than lightly engaging in war. To do that is near losing the gentleness which is so precious. Thus it is that when opposing weapons are crossed, he who deplores the situation conquers.

degringolade: (Default)
 John Singer Sargeant: Landscape with trees, Calcot on the Thames

Started this piece out of the homestead, I tried my first bigger walk for a full mile from the 12th and Clinton Station to the Barley Mill.  Total mileage in two stages equals 1.2 miles.  No harm no foul.  

Today's Screed

Sometimes it is harder than others to condense the vapor of nuance into something resembling meaning.  Carl called today and we had a nice chat, bounded by the vagaries of convalescence (his complete, mine ongoing) and then wandered into the nature of the change of society that occurred here in the US during the 1965-1975 interregnum.  Heavy lifting there.  He and I centered our discussion around the Arts (music and cinema) and essentially solved the puzzle of that time.  Great.

I was excited when I first got off the phone, thinking that I had a nice, pre-canned post all lined up and ready to go with wisdom pouring off my blistered fingers onto the screen though my keyboard.  So, poured myself another cup of coffee and then say down and prepared and......shit.....second thoughts and digressions and....well screw me raw....a mental interlude reviewing the Cultural Revolution and the Hundred Flowers campaign.

So here I sit, even more mired in mental dissonance.  This will turn into one of the longer posts after a while, but for right now, all I have is this apologia.


Since 1972

Apr. 23rd, 2019 05:32 am
degringolade: (Default)
 Caspar David Friedrich:  The Raven Tree

Anyone who knows me knows that I am a realist.  Folks in this society, filled with the obligatory positivism that is the only acceptable means of intercourse refer to me as a pessimist.  That is because I can see bad results as a consequence of behaviors and recognize that not stopping those behaviors will inevitably lead to the aforementioned bad results.

Now, being a realist, and realizing that my personal decisions have a vanishingly minuscule effect on the direction the world is taking, I tend to wonder why I am so worried about reducing my footprint on this planet.  Just in the US I am 1/327,000,000 (0.0000003%) of the problem.  Even if I went full hair shirt and lived in a recycled hut built from scavenged materials my actions would not have an appreciable impact.

Now, I think that folks should go out and read Gail Tverberg's shiny new post at Our Finite World.  I have always stated (to my friends dismay and mortification) that the oil is running out.  We have harvested the low-hanging fruit and in the next couple of years we will mostly be learning far more than we wish to know about energy return on energy investment (EROEI).  

Gail's excellent article lays down what will be the price of going renewable.  The bill is very, very steep.  Here in the USA, folks have completely forgotten about peak oil, primarily because of the obligatory positivism stated above.  Our suburb and car culture with big box stores and 3,000 mile Caesar Salad's in Montana in January will have to take a hit.  It will not only have to take a hit, it will have to be thrown down and beaten.  

I have taken the liberty of including a copy of a graph from the original run of World 3.  Now, this one is gussied up pretty well from the original, computer graphics advancing how they have, but it is the same graph that I saw and understood back in 1972.  It was just back then I thought that, since I was going to be dead at the time the turning point came to pass, I wouldn't sweat it too much.

 
Donella Meadows

Well that indecision may bite me.  I think that most of the political nonsense that is going on right now, the lack of real decisions, the lack of real options: These things are torn from our societies by our lack of will, our parsimony, and our procrastination.  

I am just hoping that if I change enough now and make enough effort in living within my means that I will not die with a heavy heart and guilt with what I have helped do to my descendants.





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