Wimp

Dec. 27th, 2021 06:48 am
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Post-Impressionism / Nutzi Acontz/ Mamut's Café


Going in later today.  One of those Portland “weather for wimps” things where we actually get an extended freezing temperature run (extended being > 24 hours).  I will probably go in, but I want to at least wait until it is light before I venture out.  Walking on icy sidewalks is one thing, walking on icy sidewalks in the dark is another thing altogether.  My age tells me that falling on ice and breaking a bone or two might not be a great decision.  

My younger self would have sneered at me for being a big baby.  Fuck that guy, he was a moron.

degringolade: (Default)

Modernismo / Tarsila do Amaral/ An Angler


I started writing this as a comment for a post over at the Colonel’s place.  But then I started to feel constrained by the comment box so I pulled it over here to be able to work on it using a word processor.  

I have to agree with TTG on this one.  I also agree that the USSF will be a quasi independent command as are the Marines.  But I think that independence will be eroded in a very peculiar way.

I think that there will be significant differences from the Navy/Marine analogy.  If anything the control of near space will be more important strategically than the current air assets.  It is my honest feeling that current technology air assets will become progressively more marginalized over the next couple of decades.  

In my mind, the Air Force is the most moribund and least essential service in the world we are going into.  I suppose that this will be an unpopular opinion in this particular venue, but I really don’t see any way that the US can maintain its current status as global hegemon.  I can’t foresee a mission such as the Air Force mission (currently structured that will allow the needs for “power projection) lasting a long time in the brave new world we are getting ready for.

So, assuming as I do we will start disentangling ourselves from the forward bases around the world (do you really think that we will have the money to maintain them?) we will need enhanced snooping and abilities to intervene remotely.  I think that the Space Force stood up just for this sort of thing.  

Like it or not, the Air Force’s (and for that matter, the Navy’s) kit is just too expensive as it stands.  But the power structure in the Pentagon is currently weighted heavily toward manned aviation in the older services and large contracts and Board Positions for the Cognoscenti.   I don’t think that the Space Force will make that mistake. 

Really, spend some time and ponder it.  The Space Force is a way to break the current military penchant for expensive weapons that really don’t work all that well and that the opponents seem to have a solid means of defeating.

I think that the Space Force will end up being the tail that wags the dog of the senior services.  To the best of my limited powers of observation, the war planning is currently centered still around big, vulnerable assets (I’m talking to you USS Ronald Reagan) and lightweight bomb carrying sports cars that require tankers to give them the range and dwell needed.  As that changes with the retirement of the current command and the decrease in purchasing power available to the new command, I think that the relative weight of command will shift inexorably toward the Space Force.

I have a sneaking hunch that Elon Musk and SpaceX might become more and more important and integrated to the Space Force over the coming years.  I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if a goodly portion of the strategic assets that he currently holds is “nationalized” in a subtle backdoor manner.

degringolade: (Default)
Early Renaissance / Sandro Botticelli/ Venus and Mars 
Early Renaissance / Sandro Botticelli/ Venus and Mars

I guess that today was the first day that winter began announcing it's coming this year.  Can't really say that I am interested in it's arrival.  I am too old and cranky to be happy about such advents.

I am kind of bothered about the way that the discussion of money is going.  Not because of the comments or opinions or the goals or the methods.  Naw, that kind of thing traces back to the person.  Everyone feels that whatever they have decided that they need/want is worthy of anything to achieve such.  The trouble with money and wealth is that what it takes to make it and keep it is what becomes moral and good because it fits one's goals. 

All of America and a great deal of Europe has expectations that they feel to be righteous.  They will do nearly anything that will fill their chosen goal's needs.  What they don't seem to address it their expectations or the costs of those goals.

Most of these expectations revolve around "a comfortable old-age".  Now this simple little phrase sure comes loaded.  Just what the fuck constitutes "comfortable"?  And who the fuck says that you get off the hook from the world just because you are old?  The crisis we are entering revolves around just those two questions.  Truth be told, the entire finance industry is loaded to hunt just that bear. 

I have spent a lot of time (I would argue too much) and spent too much time in books that discussed the period prior to 1900 CE to hold fast the idea that old people get a pass.  I have spent too much time in backwoods Asian villages and in pre-1960 Utah truck farms to believe for a moment that old people can't contribute.  That is just a bald-faced lie.  I remember my 80+ year old grandfather spending a day wrapping up all the twine that I brought in from the bean patch into footballs for use the next year.  He fed the dry stock every day, plugging away at the task, probably taking two to three times as long as an efficient "worker" would take, but he managed to get it all done.  There was never any thought that he should take it easy, there was always the expectation that the old could contribute as much as they could, because everyone else was certainly doing the same.

Here in the West, and especially here in the US, we have the idea that the old shouldn't work and the young shouldn't be a part of their life.  Old people are to be put away where they can be conveniently ignored when desired.  Add this to the "Cult of the Child" where we pay lip service to providing children everything their little hearts could desire gives us the "moral" cover for doing anything to save up the money needed to perpetuate this one way generational street.  We have pretty much systematically excluded the old in our day to day lives.  It really isn't because we worship the young, that has always been a lame excuse. 

All of this is tied back into the simple fact that we don't want to see what we will become.  The old want to give up because we have created a society where they are of no use.  Children are used as markers for the future against the inevitability of our mortality.  The "adults" scramble away as slaves to the system that allows them these fever dreams.  None of those wishes are the wishes of adults. 

Money is the way that these malformed wishes are executed.

Giving Up?

May. 21st, 2020 06:45 am
degringolade: (Default)

I held my breath with my eyes closed.

So today I will go in and buff up my resume on company time.  Take my time doing it too.  I think that I will call around to go a-job-fishing and see what is available.  Talk to people that I know and see what is the haps.

Big headline today.  The Rona just hit five million people worldwide.  Went over and looked.  World population = 7.8 billion.  In the year of my birth, the population was around 2.7 billion.   The way I look at that is that the population has tripled in my lifetime.  Considering that all things being equal, without an exogenous energy supply provided by fossil fuels and technology, the 2.7 billion is around 0.7 billion too many.

Then I ponder further.  The "Pandemic" is weighing in at 0.06% of the world population.  329,000 deaths now.  0.0042% of the world population taken down.  Pondering further 73.8% of the deaths are from individuals >65 years old.  The current world life expectancy (average) is 71.1 years.  

Forty-eight million people in the US out of a job now.  Stock market is 24,000.

What's a body to think?

Not Certain

Apr. 9th, 2020 05:43 am
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Hexagram 43 again.  Two days in a row.  Need to pay attention today.  

Spent a little time with Bessie the van yesterday.  Spent two days trickle charging the battery and she complained a bit when I cranked her over, but she is now up and running (took her to the beer store for resupply) and she seems happy.  I will have to take her into one of the parts stores and hook her up to their magical electrical diagnostic thingies to get a better idea why she drains so fast.  Truth be told, it is a long term habit that might not be fixable at a realistic price so accommodations will need be made.  Simple things.  Since I only want to use her for planned out and infrequent supply runs, the battery will be disconnected when not in use.  I will think about this today and report back the plan.


Screed:

Slowness still defines the workplace.  Frantic preparations for what just might not occur.  A low level panic for the unknown and the unexpected.  I think that the unexpected is what mentally damages us the most.

You see, we have become little walking statistical engines.  If you do X, you have a a good probability of this preferred outcome.  If you do Y, and X, why then, the past has taught us that you get this preferred outcome.  You see, we have traded our insecurity for statistics and figure if we link everything together just right, we will get the outcome that we wish.  

And now Rona has come through.  She has kinda tossed statistics out the door for a lot of us and rendered the statistics that they used to build their lives inoperable or even worse, wrong from the start.  The fact that this is hitting medicine is especially telling.  Because the model for medicine throughout the world seems to concentrate on a specific statistic:  Lifespan.  Nothing else seems to matter.  And despite all the protestations to the contrary, Rona seems to be a herd thinner, taking the old and the weak. 

Ecologies

Apr. 8th, 2020 05:43 am
degringolade: (Default)
 Abstract Expressionism / William Congdon/ Canal, Venice (Venice from the Giudecca)

Pulled the battery out of Bessie and hooked it up to my shiny little 1 amp battery charger day before yesterday.  I tend to think that trickle charging is better for a battery than fast charges, but patience is a virtue and time is the price that you pay as it is 36+ hours later and it still isn't topped up.  Hope that this solves the annoying car alarm problem that keeps me from using her.  If it is true, then I have to put my brain down on why she isn't maintaining charge.

Work is work.  I am no longer certain that the stay at home/quarantine idea was the best way to approach this.  But, I am aware that a lack of certainty on my part doesn't at all preclude the idea that it was the right way.  Hell of a steep price though.  


Screed:

I think that the Rona is a reminder that we are doing our level best to ignore.  A reminder of the environmental damage that our planet spawns all kinds of things that we didn't think were important in our quest for material self-fulfillment.  We have seriously changed the environment, probably not for the better.  Rona is just the first of many things that will come out of that change.  

But there are other ecologies.  What we refer to as the "economy" is an ecology itself.  Rona seems to have crossed over the line from the natural ecology of the planet to the ecology that most of humans live in.  Now, I am certain that there are those out there that will find my near-sacrilegious use of the term offensive, but the technological/industrial ecology is where we all live. 

But Rona has shown that the human-developed ecology that we reside in with our jobs and restaurants and stores really is much more fragile that the natural ecology that we built it on top of.  Rona is proving to us that nature can adapt faster than we can, and we are appearing to prove to Rona that our ecology is more fragile than the one she came out of.


degringolade: (Default)
Life is changing.  Trying to get a grip on things and as I am a Federal Employee, this process will end up in failure.  I think that I have a chance of hanging onto things until my planned exit. 

Beer is a bubbling in a carboy in the sink.  Going pretty good now, I seriously underpitched the yeast this time, because I seriously overpitched the yeast last time.  Bubbles didn't get traction until >40 hours after pitching.  This might work out well.  I am thinking that I will be able to get three batches out of a yeast packet (I tend to use Fermentis stuff).  Right now I don't have enough discipline in the process to go with re-passaging yeast.  I have to get on this, as when I retire, I will need to have the process down well enough.

I think that a batch of cider comes next.  Apple juice only.  Concentrates from Cash and Carry to be hopped with Citra hops (lightly, maybe a quarter ounce for three gallons) I will use five of the one quart concentrate in a three gallon batch with some blackberries for color.  Half hour boil.

Screed:

I doubt sincerely that fuckwad is smart enough to have thought of this himself, but jeez Louise, maybe the guy can pull a rabbit out of the hat on this one after all. 

I have always been a bit suspicious of the Suliemani "Hit".  It seems a bit to clean, offers too many people a means of doing unpopular things. 
  • I think that it offers the Mullahs in Iran a way of getting rid of a "Man on a White Horse" that was getting a touch too popular.  For Christsakes, the guy was in lists as a mover and shaker in the Western press.  Handsome, good looking guy who got shit done and had been making noises about going into politics.  
  • I think that it offers a way/reason for Iraq to boot the US out of the country.  We paid dearly under Obama for a SOFA agreement that is just a long term cost with no return.
  • I think that it offers the current administration a good reason to leave.  It could well be the beginning of a new Project Phoenix redux.  You remember that don't you?  We had lost, so we spook-hit all the people we could while we were leaving.  For you old geezers "Knock Knock Motherfuckers".
Now, I am fairly certain that Israel will be pissed off should we choose not to fight their war for them, but they have been such shitheads of late that we shouldn't really pay any attention to that.  And from what I can see, Saudi Arabia looks to be getting some serious traction on the oil depletion thing, so I am not all that certain we should pay any attention to the head choppers. 

Nope, I don't think for a minute that this is a 5D chess thing.  I am not at all certain that fuckwad can fully understand 2D chess.  But maybe, just maybe he can accidentally use the pretense to get out of a bad deal. 

The Iraqi Parliament has voted to make us leave.  Right now everyone's tits are in a pretty big twist. 

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