Predictions

[degringolade]

Rococo / Pietro Longhi/ The Alchemists

One of the reasons that I am super uncomfortable right now is that no one "knows" anything.  We have people trying to jam a novel situation into models that kinda-sorta worked before in a different situation.  But they are taking that uncertain knowledge and letting go like Jeremiah with blood curdling predictions.

I have an itch to make a prediction.  I think that anyone who blogs has the same problem.  We write for a small audience and want them to know all about our omniscience.  But in this case I got nothin'.   I am very much starting to suspect the numbers coming out of the pipe.  I am beginning to be suspicious about the way the statistics are generated and the significance of the numbers being presented.  I am questioning the basic assumptions made in this mad dash toward being #1.

I have always been a skeptic.  Science can never prove anything, it can just disprove things. 

I am beginning to think that I smell a rat.