research

[degringolade]

 

I suppose that the reason I am so blocked in my writing is that I appear to have been correct about the way that the cookie is crumbling.  This really is awkward because I really, truly wanted to be wrong again.  As a matter of fact, the current scenario that I deem to be “most likely” will probably impinge on my “fat, dumb and happy” lifestyle that I was hoping to be my sunset years.

I recently sent a message to JMG asking that he consider revisiting Peak Oil in light of the current state of the world affairs that have landed in our laps.  Now, I kinda consider such a request to be dangerous because it probably won’t in any fashion improve my mood.  I am doing the same thing myself,  but as he writes better than I do I would like to enjoy reading a well-written piece on the upcoming misfortunes.  This time though, I probably have more time to spend trying to tease apart all the inputs that make up the warp and the woof of the current situation.

I see the following as needing to be addressed at first, any answers will certainly make 2-3 more questions.  

1.) how much catch up needs to be done to make up the current loss of crude coming out of the Gulf region.

2.) what crude inputs are required here in the US to maintain our supply of the diesel, jet fuel, and bunker required to keep our industry running.

So my research project will be to come up with the best guesses at this kind of thing.