Degringolade (
degringolade) wrote2020-04-01 05:45 am
![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
Entry tags:
Predictions
One of the reasons that I am super uncomfortable right now is that no one "knows" anything. We have people trying to jam a novel situation into models that kinda-sorta worked before in a different situation. But they are taking that uncertain knowledge and letting go like Jeremiah with blood curdling predictions.
I have an itch to make a prediction. I think that anyone who blogs has the same problem. We write for a small audience and want them to know all about our omniscience. But in this case I got nothin'. I am very much starting to suspect the numbers coming out of the pipe. I am beginning to be suspicious about the way the statistics are generated and the significance of the numbers being presented. I am questioning the basic assumptions made in this mad dash toward being #1.
I have always been a skeptic. Science can never prove anything, it can just disprove things.
I am beginning to think that I smell a rat.